Tri-Cities Home Sales Post Modest March Gain as Move-Up Market Surges; Luxury Segment Shows Deepening Seller Concessions

Don Fenley 

Home sales in the Tri-Cities region rose 6.2% in March, driven by a sharp 25.0% jump in the move-up market. At the same time, luxury market sales continued to decline, according the the Northeast Tennessee Association of Realtors (NETAR) Home Sales Report.

The affordable market posted a 3.9% gain for the month while the luxury market fell 5.6%, extending what has become a persistent soft spot in higher-end residential sales. New listings edged up 0.8% in March, and overall inventory expanded 5.3%.

First-Quarter Trend

The March data caps a strong first quarter for the region’s mid-tier housing sector. Q1 2026 sales rose 9.3% overall, with the move-up market gaining 18.3% and the affordable segment up 13.6% over the three-month period.

New listings for the quarter were up 3.9%, while inventory expanded 9.2%, offering some relief to a market that has been constrained by limited supply.

Luxury Market: Price Cuts and Concessions Both Deepened in Q1

The luxury segment, which posted a 6.6% sales decline in Q1 2026, showed widening seller accommodation compared to the same period a year ago, with both pre-listing price reductions and post-listing concessions trending higher.

Sellers reduced their original asking price by an average of $24,260 in Q1 2026, up from $23,681 in Q1 2025. As a share of the original list price, the average reduction widened to 3.2% from 2.7% a year earlier.

Concessions averaged $22,969 in Q1 2026, up $3,376 from the $19,593 average recorded in Q1 2025. The average concession rate rose to 3.1% from 2.6% over the same period.

Combined, luxury sellers absorbed an average of roughly $47,200 in total price erosion from original ask to close in Q1 2026, compared to approximately $43,300 a year earlier.

Notably, the Q1 2026 concession rate of 3.14% marginally exceeded the pre-listing price reduction rate of 3.12%. That means buyers extracted more at the negotiating table than sellers had already conceded before listing. In Q1 2025, the relationship ran the other direction, with pre-listing reductions averaging 2.7% against a concession rate of 2.6%. The shift is a early signal of changing negotiating dynamics in the upper price tier that will be examined in a separate CoreData price analysis.

The share of luxury closing at or above listing price edged down to 25.8% in Q1 2026 from 27.4% in Q1 2025, a further indicator of softening negotiating leverage at the upper end of the market.

This report is a combination of AI and human analysis.

NETAR is the voice for real estate in Northeast Tennessee. It is the largest trade association in the Northeast Tennessee, Southwest Virginia region, representing over 1,800+ members and 100+ business partners involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries. Weekly market reports and information for both consumers and members are available on the NETAR website at https://netar.us