Strategic Pricing: Where the Market Is Quietly Deciding Who Wins
Amy Mitchell
One of the most important lessons about today’s housing market is pricing is no longer a set-it-and-forget-it decision. January’s data on price reductions and concessions illustrates the point.

NETAR President
Last month over half of homes sold required price reductions, and two-thirds needed concessions to close the deal. The real advantage belonged to sellers who got pricing right the first time.
The reality check is a home priced in the sweet spot (fair market value) attracts maximum buyer interest, generates faster offers, and often sells for a higher final price.
Conversely, starting high and reducing the price often leads to a stale listing, fewer showings, and a final sale price that can be 6.7% lower.
Fair market value pricing is the market’s workhorse strategy. It involves pricing in line with recent comparable sales. It aligns the home with market reality. Homes priced this way tend to sell faster, with fewer negotiations and less emotional friction. This is the situation in markets like the Tri-Cities where buyers are cautious but still active.
Strategic pricing is essential for sellers who are looking to spend the least amount of time on the market and get the best profit. A listing that launches strong keeps momentum. One that misses the mark risks becoming stale.
That matters in early season marketing because the data shows a clear seasonal pattern.
For the past two years, median listing prices have been reduced in February and March from January levels. The pattern is obvious. Early-year optimism collided with buyer reality, forcing corrections that could have been avoided with sharper initial pricing.
During that two-year period, the share of listings that chased the market by reducing the original listing price ranged from a high of 60.5% in July 2025 to 26% in June 2024. Most of the reductions in 2025 were in the 38% to 47% range.
Concessions during that two-year period ranged from $33,000 to $10,000.
Here’s where the pattern of price reductions and concessions settled last month.
Homes that had at least one price reduction accounted for 57% of homes that sold. It was the second highest market share in two years. The average reduction was $29,851, which is $2,909 more than it was a year ago.
The share of homes sold that included concessions was 67%. The average was $18,028, slightly lower than last year, but still meaningful.
This tells us something critical. Sellers who price their listing wrong the first time end up chasing the market. First through reductions. Then through concessions.
Many buyers now enter the process more cautious, more payment-focused, and far less forgiving of overpricing.
The thing to remember is that in today’s housing market, the first price is the most important one.
NETAR is the voice for real estate in Northeast Tennessee. It is the largest trade association in the Northeast Tennessee, Southwest Virginia region, representing over 1,800+ members and 100+ business partners involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries. Weekly market reports and information for both consumers and members are available on the NETAR website at https://netar.us